🇺🇸Treasury’s Elite Bond Dealers Will Struggle to Handle $50 Trillion Debt
[long read]
Bloomberg reports that as US debt balloons, firms that play a vital role in ensuring the biggest bond market works properly warn of the risk of growing pressures.
👤Formed in
1960 by the
New York Fed to ensure the smooth functioning of a
Treasury market that has since
grown to nearly $
29 trillion and is a benchmark for setting
borrowing costs across the world, the current system of
primary dealers stands at
two dozen, about
half the
number at its peak in
1988.
📉Primary dealers are seen as the
ultimate backstop at auctions because they are
required to
bid for at least their
pro-
rata share of the total issuance. They are
beefing up market guardrails, with a move to more
central clearing of
Treasuries and other efforts to
facilitate trading.
📈 The amount of
Treasury debt outstanding has exploded by more than $
15 trillion in the
last decade, and the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projects chronic
US deficits will lift
US public debt to just over $
50 trillion by the end of
2034.
📊For
primary dealers, the issue boils down to whether they can
keep up with a gushing spigot of
Treasury sales. Primary dealer holdings of
US Treasuries reached an all-time high of almost $
400 billion. In
2014, dealers’ holdings averaged $
43 billion.
📌Relevant:
📎 Trump Should Reform Financial Watchdogs. Here’s How
📎 A New World Order Is Here, and It Looks a Lot Like Mercantilism
📎 Dollar Dominance Is the Key to US Debt and Deficits
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© Экономическое обозрение
© Иқтисодий шарҳ
© Economic Review
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