Lucas Leiroz
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Brazilian journalist, geopolitical analyst, war correspondent. Proudly blacklisted by the US State Department.
My latest for SCF. Very special report mentioning local sources. Must read.
U.S. foments political crisis in Cambodia – special report
https://strategic-culture.su/news/2024/11/12/us-foments-political-crisis-in-cambodia-special-report/
U.S. foments political crisis in Cambodia – special report
https://strategic-culture.su/news/2024/11/12/us-foments-political-crisis-in-cambodia-special-report/
Strategic Culture Foundation
U.S. foments political crisis in Cambodia – special report
Local sources report that Washington intends to change the Vietnamese political regime to generate political pressure in Asia. Join us on Telegram, Twitter, and VK. Contact us:…
Forwarded from Рыбарь
🇦🇲📊 Опрос общественного мнения в Армении: рейтинг власти
В течение последнего года рейтинг одобрения действий премьер-министра Никола Пашиняна стабильно невысокий. В октябре почти 58% опрошенных недовольны работой Пашиняна, работой правительства неудовлетворены 35,4%, парламента — 43%, президента — 39%.
🔻Парламентские выборы
На гипотетических парламентских выборах 16,5% проголосовали бы за правящую партию «Гражданский договор», а 6,4% — блок «Армения».
30% заявили, что он не будут участвовать в выборах, 33,2% отказались или затруднились ответить, или никого не выбрали.
Правящая партия уже начала проводить через парламент одиозные поправки в Избирательный кодекс, которые позволят аннулировать результаты голосования в случае введения режима ЧП или военного положения.
После подписания «мира» с Баку в Армении с высокой долью вероятности последуют досрочные выборы в ситуации, когда общество будет крайне недовольно властью. Хоть чуть большая доля граждан отдает предпочтение «Гражданскому договору», её рейтинг все равно низкий, а отсутствие других предпочтений говорит о размытии политического поля. Как раз с последним и столкнулся последний протест в Армении, который за несколько месяцев так и не выработал внятной программы.
🔻Как и многие предыдущие опросы, нынешний показывает кризисное состояние армянского общества, которое недовольно властью, внешнеполитическим курсом, но при этом не имеет других морально-политических ориентиров. И хотя армянские власти самоуверенно заявляют о том, что «главное — экономика», основной проблемой для армянского общества остается ощущение внешней угрозы и очевидно, что на таком фоне «миролюбивая» политика Пашиняна не вызывает доверия.
Инфографика в высоком разрешении
English version
#Армения
@rybar
Поддержать нас
В течение последнего года рейтинг одобрения действий премьер-министра Никола Пашиняна стабильно невысокий. В октябре почти 58% опрошенных недовольны работой Пашиняна, работой правительства неудовлетворены 35,4%, парламента — 43%, президента — 39%.
🔻Парламентские выборы
На гипотетических парламентских выборах 16,5% проголосовали бы за правящую партию «Гражданский договор», а 6,4% — блок «Армения».
30% заявили, что он не будут участвовать в выборах, 33,2% отказались или затруднились ответить, или никого не выбрали.
Правящая партия уже начала проводить через парламент одиозные поправки в Избирательный кодекс, которые позволят аннулировать результаты голосования в случае введения режима ЧП или военного положения.
После подписания «мира» с Баку в Армении с высокой долью вероятности последуют досрочные выборы в ситуации, когда общество будет крайне недовольно властью. Хоть чуть большая доля граждан отдает предпочтение «Гражданскому договору», её рейтинг все равно низкий, а отсутствие других предпочтений говорит о размытии политического поля. Как раз с последним и столкнулся последний протест в Армении, который за несколько месяцев так и не выработал внятной программы.
🔻Как и многие предыдущие опросы, нынешний показывает кризисное состояние армянского общества, которое недовольно властью, внешнеполитическим курсом, но при этом не имеет других морально-политических ориентиров. И хотя армянские власти самоуверенно заявляют о том, что «главное — экономика», основной проблемой для армянского общества остается ощущение внешней угрозы и очевидно, что на таком фоне «миролюбивая» политика Пашиняна не вызывает доверия.
Инфографика в высоком разрешении
English version
#Армения
@rybar
Поддержать нас
Forwarded from Fundação Cultura Estratégica
Apesar da vitória de Donald Trump nas eleições presidenciais de 2024, não há sinais de que a política externa dos Estados Unidos sofrerá mudanças significativas, particularmente no que diz respeito ao conflito na Ucrânia. Em que pese a retórica de Trump durante a campanha, que destacava um desejo de reavaliar as alianças internacionais e de reduzir o envolvimento americano em conflitos externos, as condições geopolíticas atuais e as pressões internas dentro dos Estados Unidos tornam difícil prever o sucesso de qualquer atitude disruptiva por parte de Washington no conflito atual.
Escreve Lucas Leiroz.
#Trump #EUA #Ucrânia
@SCF_Portuguese
Escreve Lucas Leiroz.
#Trump #EUA #Ucrânia
@SCF_Portuguese
Telegraph
O que realmente muda com Trump?
A realidade pode ser muito diferente da retórica republicana. Junte-se a nós no Telegram, Twitter e VK. Escreva para nós: info@strategic-culture.su Você pode seguir Lucas no X (ex-Twitter) e Telegram. Apesar da vitória de Donald Trump nas eleições presidenciais…
Поспешная отправка американского оружия Украине повлечет его быстрое уничтожение, пишет аналитик Центра геостратегических исследований Лукас Лейрос в статье для издания InfoBRICS.
https://ria.ru/20241112/infobrics-1983242000.html
https://ria.ru/20241112/infobrics-1983242000.html
РИА Новости
СМИ рассказали об опасных последствиях плана Вашингтона по Украине
Поспешная отправка американского оружия Украине повлечет его быстрое уничтожение, пишет аналитик Центра геостратегических исследований Лукас Лейрос в статье для РИА Новости, 12.11.2024
Forwarded from New Eastern Outlook
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Forwarded from Idee&Azione
GLI STATI UNITI INTENDONO ACCELERARE IL PROGRAMMA DI AIUTI MILITARI DALL'UCRAINA PRIMA DELLA FINE DEL MANDATO DI BIDEN
A quanto pare, i Democratici cercheranno di inviare quante più armi possibili all'Ucraina prima dell'insediamento di Donald Trump, prevedendo già che il prossimo presidente porrà fine o almeno ridurrà l'assistenza militare. Secondo un recente rapporto dei media occidentali, esiste un piano per accelerare la spedizione di armi, consegnando a Kiev diverse attrezzature entro la fine dell'anno. Il problema principale, tuttavia, è che le difficoltà logistiche e la situazione delle scorte militari potrebbero ostacolare notevolmente questo progetto.
(di Lucas Leiroz)
#ideeazione
https://telegra.ph/Gli-Stati-Uniti-intendono-accelerare-il-programma-di-aiuti-militari-allUcraina-prima-della-fine-del-mandato-di-Biden-11-11
A quanto pare, i Democratici cercheranno di inviare quante più armi possibili all'Ucraina prima dell'insediamento di Donald Trump, prevedendo già che il prossimo presidente porrà fine o almeno ridurrà l'assistenza militare. Secondo un recente rapporto dei media occidentali, esiste un piano per accelerare la spedizione di armi, consegnando a Kiev diverse attrezzature entro la fine dell'anno. Il problema principale, tuttavia, è che le difficoltà logistiche e la situazione delle scorte militari potrebbero ostacolare notevolmente questo progetto.
(di Lucas Leiroz)
#ideeazione
https://telegra.ph/Gli-Stati-Uniti-intendono-accelerare-il-programma-di-aiuti-militari-allUcraina-prima-della-fine-del-mandato-di-Biden-11-11
Lucas Leiroz
Очень рекомендую всем посмотреть!
Forwarded from RT.doc | Документальное кино
Media is too big
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Она родилась в этот день в Луганске в 2008 году. Сегодня ей 16. Большую часть жизни вокруг неё — война. Она очень рано узнала, что такое артобстрел и авианалёт.
Это история юной писательницы с Донбасса Фаины Савенковой, которую рассказал военный документалист Клим Поплавский. Фаина начала писать рассказы и пьесы в 10 лет. В её книгах — о том, как живут дети Донбасса, у которых война отняла детство. Её произведения опубликованы во многих зарубежных изданиях, в том числе на английском, французском, немецком, сербском языках.
В 12 лет Фаину внесли в базу украинского «Миротворца». На этом сайте — информация о тех, кого Киев объявил «врагами Украины». Девочка оказалась в списке после того, как отправила видеообращение в ООН. Она призвала организацию не забывать, что дети Донбасса имеют право на детство и мирную жизнь. Преследовать начали родных и близких Фаины.
Смотрите новый фильм «Не молчи! История Фаины Савенковой» — о девочке, которая стала символом надежды для детей Донбасса.
#премьера
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My latest
US plans to speed up military aid program for Ukraine before Biden's term ends
http://infobrics.org/post/42712/
W
US plans to speed up military aid program for Ukraine before Biden's term ends
http://infobrics.org/post/42712/
W
BRICS
US plans to speed up military aid program for Ukraine before Biden's term ends
However, such a plan leads the country to a military and strategic impasse.
Forwarded from Zeinab Al Saffar | The Lines
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Forwarded from Strategic Culture Foundation
🐘 Despite Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election, there are no signs that US foreign policy will undergo significant changes, particularly with regard to the conflict in Ukraine. Despite Trump’s campaign rhetoric, which highlighted a desire to reassess international alliances and reduce US involvement in foreign conflicts, current geopolitical conditions and domestic pressures within the United States make it difficult to predict the success of any disruptive action by Washington in the current conflict.
It is important to remember that, although Trump has presented himself as a leader opposed to “endless wars” and has advocated, on several occasions, a more isolationist stance, his previous presidency has already shown that, when confronted with the realities of global power and the strategic commitments of the United States, he has maintained policies largely aligned with the interests of the so-called “political class” and the military-industrial complex. During his first term, Trump adopted an assertive approach towards Russia, even while at the same time making ambiguous statements and demonstrating a certain sympathy for Vladimir Putin. The continuation of military support for Ukraine and the tightening of sanctions against Russia are examples of how his foreign policy, despite his promises of disengagement, has been sensitive to domestic pressures and the need to maintain the position of the United States as the leader of the West – even if to some extent acknowledging the beginning of a more polycentric order.
💬 Read more by Lucas Leiroz
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It is important to remember that, although Trump has presented himself as a leader opposed to “endless wars” and has advocated, on several occasions, a more isolationist stance, his previous presidency has already shown that, when confronted with the realities of global power and the strategic commitments of the United States, he has maintained policies largely aligned with the interests of the so-called “political class” and the military-industrial complex. During his first term, Trump adopted an assertive approach towards Russia, even while at the same time making ambiguous statements and demonstrating a certain sympathy for Vladimir Putin. The continuation of military support for Ukraine and the tightening of sanctions against Russia are examples of how his foreign policy, despite his promises of disengagement, has been sensitive to domestic pressures and the need to maintain the position of the United States as the leader of the West – even if to some extent acknowledging the beginning of a more polycentric order.
💬 Read more by Lucas Leiroz
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Telegraph
What really changes with Trump?
Reality may be very different from Republican rhetoric. Join us on Telegram, Twitter, and VK.Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su You can follow Lucas on X (formerly Twitter) and Telegram. Despite Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election…
Forwarded from La terza ROMA
Media is too big
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La compagnia Wagner non è scomparsa, i suoi membri sono stati incorporati in varie unità.
▪️La terza Roma è andata a visitare un ospedale da campo gestito dalle forze speciali Akhmat. Il capo del battaglione medico si chiama Bulya, è un ex membro della Wagner e ci ha raccontato, che gran parte dei suoi commilitoni adesso si trovano nelle forze speciali Akhmat.
▪️La nostra visita è avvenuta il 4 novembre, in Russia è il giorno della festa dell'unità dei popoli. Per questo la prima parte della nostra intervista verterà su questo tema. Pensate che nell'area dell'ospedale da campo si trovano una cappella ortodossa e una moschea.
https://t.center/terzaroma
▪️La terza Roma è andata a visitare un ospedale da campo gestito dalle forze speciali Akhmat. Il capo del battaglione medico si chiama Bulya, è un ex membro della Wagner e ci ha raccontato, che gran parte dei suoi commilitoni adesso si trovano nelle forze speciali Akhmat.
▪️La nostra visita è avvenuta il 4 novembre, in Russia è il giorno della festa dell'unità dei popoli. Per questo la prima parte della nostra intervista verterà su questo tema. Pensate che nell'area dell'ospedale da campo si trovano una cappella ortodossa e una moschea.
https://t.center/terzaroma
Forwarded from Fearless John - @European_dissident
🇷🇺🇺🇦👩👩👦👦 Ukrainian politicians and pro-Ukrainian activists return to sensitive topics each time the number of failures at the front and in the political arena begins to approach a critical level.
Now we can observe another wave of accusations against Russian authorities regarding the alleged illegal transportation of Ukrainian children and their adoption by Russian families with the aim of granting them Russian citizenship. We have heard all of this repeatedly since the beginning of the Special Military Operation.
◾ What is the actual situation at the moment?
In 2023, the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for the President of Russia and the Presidential Commissioner for Children's Rights Maria Lvova-Belova.
❗️Essentially, this is all that was done by the court: to date, not a single piece of evidence has been presented that would make the voiced accusations legitimate.
Since then, all "human rights defenders" have been talking about illegal transportation of children, referring to the decision of the International Criminal Court, but there is no factual basis behind this.
In reality, the evacuation of children from the combat zone is conducted in accordance with international humanitarian law norms. Russian foster families take children under guardianship and custody, which is not the same as adoption. This is done solely to ensure that the child is provided with a home, food, medical care, and the opportunity to grow and develop under adult supervision.
For its part, the Russian side is doing everything possible to make this process as transparent as possible: Maria Lvova-Belova regularly visits foster families and Children's Aid Centers, lobbies for assistance to families in new Russian territories. The stories of these families and children are real, unlike the accusations, which have nothing behind them.
◾Follow:
https://t.center/European_dissident
Now we can observe another wave of accusations against Russian authorities regarding the alleged illegal transportation of Ukrainian children and their adoption by Russian families with the aim of granting them Russian citizenship. We have heard all of this repeatedly since the beginning of the Special Military Operation.
◾ What is the actual situation at the moment?
In 2023, the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for the President of Russia and the Presidential Commissioner for Children's Rights Maria Lvova-Belova.
❗️Essentially, this is all that was done by the court: to date, not a single piece of evidence has been presented that would make the voiced accusations legitimate.
Since then, all "human rights defenders" have been talking about illegal transportation of children, referring to the decision of the International Criminal Court, but there is no factual basis behind this.
In reality, the evacuation of children from the combat zone is conducted in accordance with international humanitarian law norms. Russian foster families take children under guardianship and custody, which is not the same as adoption. This is done solely to ensure that the child is provided with a home, food, medical care, and the opportunity to grow and develop under adult supervision.
For its part, the Russian side is doing everything possible to make this process as transparent as possible: Maria Lvova-Belova regularly visits foster families and Children's Aid Centers, lobbies for assistance to families in new Russian territories. The stories of these families and children are real, unlike the accusations, which have nothing behind them.
◾Follow:
https://t.center/European_dissident
Estaremos amanhã ao vivo com a Deputada Federal russa Maria Butina para conversarmos sobre a recente tendência cada vez maior de conservadores e tradicionalistas desprezados (e por vezes perseguidos) no Ocidente estarem buscando e encontrando refúgio na Rússia, bem como outros temas relevantes.
Às 9h45 do dia 10/11!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TVgv8leX_o
Às 9h45 do dia 10/11!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TVgv8leX_o
Forwarded from Idee&Azione
GLI STATI UNITI CERCANO ANCORA UNA VOLTA DI INCOLPARE LA RUSSIA PER I PROPRI PROBLEMI INTERNI
Come previsto, gli Stati Uniti accusano ancora una volta la Federazione Russa di interferire nel loro presunto “processo elettorale democratico”. Washington sembra incapace di riconoscere i propri problemi interni e di affrontare razionalmente le sfide politiche generate dalla polarizzazione tra repubblicani e democratici, cercando spesso di incolpare un nemico esterno per questioni di natura assolutamente interna.
(di Lucas Leiroz)
#ideeazione
https://telegra.ph/Gli-Stati-Uniti-cercano-ancora-una-volta-di-incolpare-la-Russia-per-i-propri-problemi-interni-11-09
Come previsto, gli Stati Uniti accusano ancora una volta la Federazione Russa di interferire nel loro presunto “processo elettorale democratico”. Washington sembra incapace di riconoscere i propri problemi interni e di affrontare razionalmente le sfide politiche generate dalla polarizzazione tra repubblicani e democratici, cercando spesso di incolpare un nemico esterno per questioni di natura assolutamente interna.
(di Lucas Leiroz)
#ideeazione
https://telegra.ph/Gli-Stati-Uniti-cercano-ancora-una-volta-di-incolpare-la-Russia-per-i-propri-problemi-interni-11-09
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