Assad is in deep trouble, I think on a personal level he prefers Russia over Iran. He was smart not to participate in the war and attack post October 2023 and I heard today that a year ago Syria as well as Ex president of Lebanon Michel Aoun both advised Hezbollah not to enter the war and support Hamas. Hezbollah found himself in a dilemma and was forced into this war by Iran. On one hand if Assad doesn't stop the flow of weapons from Syria to Lebanon, his life is threatened. Iran could also threaten his life if he doesn't cooperate and help Hezbollah.