The Transition Is Here: From BTC to ALT Season – Are You Ready?
We’re at a pivotal moment in the crypto cycle where the exact price of BTC or your favorite coin takes a backseat. Whether BTC is $94K or $96K is secondary. What truly matters now is the shift—the transition from BTC season to ALT season. And everyone’s burning question is: “When is ALT season?”
Here’s the thing: you can’t just glance at charts and pinpoint the start of ALT season. Charts can confirm it, but they won’t predict it. To anticipate ALT season, you need to monitor three critical ingredients. When these elements align, the magic happens—and we get ALT season. Let’s break it down.
1. BTC Dominance: A Decline is Crucial
BTC dominance (BTC Dom) currently hovers around 58%. For ALT season to kick off, it must drop below 50%. During the peak of the next ALT run, I predict BTC Dom will land between 40%-45%—a significant decline from today.
But don’t expect this shift overnight; it will be gradual. Pay attention as liquidity begins to flow out of BTC and into ALTs. This is your first signal.
2. DXY: The Dollar Index Must Drop
At the moment, the DXY sits above 106—far too high for a proper bull run. For context, in 2021, the DXY was at 104 early in the year. By April’s BTC bull run, it had dropped to 92, and during the second top, it rested at 94.
The reduction in the dollar’s value fuels high-risk assets like crypto. For ALT season to thrive, we need a similar decline. Watch the DXY closely; it’s your second signal.
3. Social Media Frenzy: The Fresh Meat Arrives
Never underestimate this ingredient. In the days to come (it’s already started), you’ll notice an explosion of influencers hyping “this” and “that” coin, promoting the crypto market to a broad audience.
This creates a wave of new retail investors—or as I call them, “fresh meat.” It’s harsh but essential. These newcomers enter the market based on advice from influencers who often have little understanding of crypto fundamentals. They’ll buy near the top, allowing seasoned traders to offload their bags.
When this social media frenzy peaks, consider it your third signal.
When Do These Ingredients Align?
ALT season begins when all three ingredients start gaining momentum. One triggers the next, and together they create an extraordinary environment for crypto growth. Liquidity flows from BTC into ALTs, influencers boast about their “genius trades,” and a tsunami of FOMO-driven retail capital floods the market.
This euphoria marks the perfect exit window. Why? Because when all candles turn green and everyone is shouting “to the moon,” it’s time to plan your descent.
The Thrill and Terror of ALT Season
If you’ve never experienced an ALT season before, prepare for a ride that’s both exhilarating and terrifying. Imagine this:
* Your portfolio surges 25%-45% daily.
* For weeks, you watch your profits skyrocket, your heart racing with excitement.
* Coins you’ve held in the red for months suddenly start printing money.
* You lose sleep, waking up at odd hours to check your phone.
* Your daily routine shifts—crypto becomes your obsession, from morning commutes to work breaks.
But beware: this adrenaline-fueled euphoria is a trap. Your emotions will whisper false promises that it will last forever. It won’t. Without guidance, even the most seasoned traders can make grave mistakes. ALT season is like walking on thin ice—it’s thrilling until the cracks start to form.
So, when is ALT season? Keep your eyes on BTC Dom, the DXY, and the social buzz. When the boxes are checked, you’ll feel it—and that’s when the real fun begins. Ride the wave, but always stay disciplined.
See you at the top of the world. 🌍
Secret Trader